Narith wrote:Forgive me if this is a stupid question, but I am curious. What percentage of the violent offenders were in for a first time offense? If it was only thier first time offense (though this does not mean it was thier only crime they commited only the first one they were caught at), then how does this skew the numbers on repeat offenses as they have only had the chance at one so far?
Also as Embar said above it seems to suggest that 3% of murderers are repeat offenders of the same type of crime, now if you place that on a national average what percentage of murder convictions are death row sentences? Of those what percentage do you believe may be innocent? Of the 3% of murderers how many victims are estimated (ie. only 1 victim per repeat offense or higher? I believe it to be higher as 1 means that no repeat offender has taken more than 1 life ever on thier repeat offense).
I geuss what I am trying to break down how many victims estimated are created by repeat offenders compared to how many murderers are on death row estimated to be innocent, or at least not deserving of the death penalty (this is not a philisophical question of does anyone deserve to die at all, it is how many in the eyes of the law are not guilty enough to deserve the death penalty).
Lets go through the mental exercise, but first we have to make some assumptions as best me may.
From the Illinois data, lets assume that 6% of all capital convictions are wrongful convictions.
From the Washington data, lets assume that 3% of murderers are habitual offenders.
Since 1976 (the year the death penalty was available to the States again), there have been 952 executions. Using the 6% number, that means 57 might have been exonerated, leaving 895 "guilty" murderers.
Now, how many "future victims" did those 57 save?
Well, lets look again at the numbers. If 3% of the convicted murderers go on to commit another murder, and we have 895 murderers, then about 27 "future victims" would be spared.
So from this data, it costs us the lives of two wrongfully convicted people in order to save one "future victim".
Correction Mr. President, I DID build this, and please give Lurker a hug, we wouldn't want to damage his self-esteem.
Embar
Alarius